Premier Division badgePremier Division · 22 May 2026AI PICK

Derry City badgeDerry CityvsSt Patrick's Athl. badgeSt Patrick's Athl.

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.4%
Market said
45.5%
Edge
+17.9 pts
Best odds
2.20

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.20

MediumEdge +17.9%
Our model63.4%
The market45.5%

The market underrated this by 17.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Derry City badge

Derry City

Attack42
Defence56
Form36
St Patrick's Athl. badge

St Patrick's Athl.

Attack77
Defence73
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +17.9%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market45.5%
Edge
+17.9
Odds
2.20

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.7%Miss
Our model62.0%
The market51.3%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

St Patrick's Athl. (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

St Patrick's Athl. Win

Our model34.9%
The market41.7%
Edge
-6.8
Odds
2.40

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.8%
The market8.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
11.78

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.8%

0-1

9.1%

0-2

8.1%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.