Serie D - Girone A · 10 May 2026AI PICK
Derthonavs
Gozzano
1 - 2Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.8%
- Market said
- 62.5%
- Edge
- +3.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.60
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.60
The market underrated this by 3.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Derthona
Gozzano
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 1.60
Draw No Bet
Derthona (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -11.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Match Winner
Derthona Win
- Edge
- -14.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 5.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
20.1%
0-0
14.6%
1-0
13.5%
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.