Serie D - Girone D · 26 April 2026AI PICK
Desenzano Calvinavs
Pistoiese
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 67.4%
- Market said
- 54.6%
- Edge
- +12.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.83
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.83
The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Desenzano Calvina
Pistoiese
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.22
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 1.83
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +11.5
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Desenzano Calvina (DNB)
- Edge
- -9.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Desenzano Calvina Win
- Edge
- -5.2
- Odds
- 2.00
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.