Detroit Cityvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1 - 0Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.4%
- Market said
- 47.7%
- Edge
- +10.7 pts
- Best odds
- 2.10
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10
The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Detroit City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.2
- Odds
- 1.35
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.7
- Odds
- 2.10
Draw No Bet
Tampa Bay Rowdies (DNB)
- Edge
- -0.3
- Odds
- 1.74
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -0.6
- Odds
- 1.83
Match Winner
Tampa Bay Rowdies Win
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 2.38
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.3
- Odds
- 9.90
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7.0%
We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.