USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Detroit City badgeDetroit CityvsTampa Bay Rowdies badgeTampa Bay Rowdies

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
47.7%
Edge
+10.7 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +10.7%
Our model58.4%
The market47.7%

The market underrated this by 10.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Detroit City badge

Detroit City

Attack54
Defence79
Form64
Tampa Bay Rowdies badge

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Attack77
Defence68
Form76

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model73.9%
The market74.1%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.35

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.7%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market47.7%
Edge
+10.7
Odds
2.10

Draw No Bet

Tampa Bay Rowdies (DNB)

Miss
Our model57.2%
The market57.5%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.74

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model54.2%
The market54.8%
Edge
-0.6
Odds
1.83

Match Winner

Tampa Bay Rowdies Win

Edge +0.3%Miss
Our model42.3%
The market42.0%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
2.38

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model8.8%
The market10.1%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.8%

1-1

9.5%

2-2

7.0%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.