Doncastervs
Notts County
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.8%
- Market said
- 53.2%
- Edge
- +0.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.88
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88
The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Doncaster
Notts County
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right, 1 close
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 1.37
Draw No Bet
Doncaster (DNB)
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.79
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +0.6
- Odds
- 1.88
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.0
- Odds
- 1.74
Match Winner
Doncaster Win
- Edge
- +0.1
- Odds
- 2.32
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.28
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.4%
1-1
12.5% · actual
2-0
7.2%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.