League One badgeLeague One · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Dongguan United badgeDongguan UnitedvsChangchun Yatai badgeChangchun Yatai

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
58.5%
Edge
+14.6 pts
Best odds
1.71

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.71

High confidenceEdge +14.6%
Our model73.1%
The market58.5%

The market underrated this by 14.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dongguan United badge

Dongguan United

Attack34
Defence37
Form25
Changchun Yatai badge

Changchun Yatai

Attack46
Defence55
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.6%Miss
Our model73.1%
The market58.5%
Edge
+14.6
Odds
1.71

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.1%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Dongguan United (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Dongguan United Win

Our model37.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-12.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.