League One · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Dongguan UnitedvsHeilongjiang Lava Spring

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 57.1%
Market said: 52.4%
Edge: +4.7 pts
Best odds: 1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +4.7%

Our model57.1%

The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dongguan United

Attack52

Defence37

Form30

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Attack68

Defence37

Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.7%Correct

Our model57.1%

The market52.4%

Edge: +4.7
Odds: 1.91

Draw No Bet

Dongguan United (DNB)

Our model47.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -10.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Dongguan United Win

Edge +0.9%

Our model36.6%

The market35.7%

Edge: +0.9
Odds: 2.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%

Our model12.3%

The market10.7%

Edge: +1.6
Odds: 9.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.3%

1-0

10.8%

1-1

10.6% · actual

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record