Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 29 August 2026AI PICK

Dorados badgeDoradosvsMonarcas badgeMonarcas

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
54.8%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.75

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75

MediumEdge +3.4%
Our model58.2%
The market54.8%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dorados badge

Dorados

Attack61
Defence41
Form42
Monarcas badge

Monarcas

Attack61
Defence48
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model81.1%
The market81.3%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.23

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market54.8%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.75

Draw No Bet

Monarcas (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market59.5%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.68

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model53.9%
The market59.4%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
1.62

Match Winner

Monarcas Win

Correct
Our model44.2%
The market48.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
2.08

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.