Liga de Expansión MX badgeLiga de Expansión MX · 18 April 2026AI PICK

Dorados badgeDoradosvsTapatío badgeTapatío

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.0%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+12.9 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +12.9%
Our model67.0%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 12.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dorados badge

Dorados

Attack36
Defence35
Form24
Tapatío badge

Tapatío

Attack76
Defence47
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.9%Correct
Our model67.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.85

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +8.7%Correct
Our model62.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Tapatío Win

Miss
Our model49.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Tapatío (DNB)

Miss
Our model46.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-11.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.