Liga de Expansión MX · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Doradosvs
Tlaxcala
2 - 2Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 53.7%
- Market said
- 50.7%
- Edge
- +3.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.88
The call, locked before kick-off
MissUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.88
The market underrated this by 3.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Dorados
Tlaxcala
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 1.37
Draw No Bet
Dorados (DNB)
- Edge
- +12.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.0
- Odds
- 1.88
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.5
- Odds
- 1.65
Match Winner
Dorados Win
- Edge
- +8.2
- Odds
- 2.30
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.11
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.7%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
9.8%
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.