Premier Division badgePremier Division · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Drogheda United badgeDrogheda UnitedvsDundalk badgeDundalk

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
55.1%
Edge
+6.2 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +6.2%
Our model61.3%
The market55.1%

The market underrated this by 6.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Drogheda United badge

Drogheda United

Attack47
Defence50
Form36
Dundalk badge

Dundalk

Attack68
Defence49
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market78.7%
Edge
-6.0
Odds
1.27

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.2%Correct
Our model61.3%
The market55.1%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Dundalk (DNB)

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model57.9%
The market57.8%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.5%
The market60.0%
Edge
-7.5
Odds
1.58

Match Winner

Dundalk Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market45.5%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.4%

1-1

11.1%

2-1

6.9%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.