Premier Division badgePremier Division · 29 May 2026AI PICK

Drogheda United badgeDrogheda UnitedvsWaterford badgeWaterford

3 - 3
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.5%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+4.9 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Drogheda United Win

Match Winner · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +4.9%
Our model60.5%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 4.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Drogheda United badge

Drogheda United

Attack44
Defence36
Form29
Waterford badge

Waterford

Attack42
Defence30
Form18

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Drogheda United Win

Edge +4.9%Miss
Our model60.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model54.9%
The market59.9%
Edge
-5.0
Odds
1.67

Draw No Bet

Drogheda United (DNB)

Void
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.7%

0-1

11.9%

1-1

11.0%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.