First NL · 28 August 2026AI PICK

Dubrava ZagrebvsCroatia Zmijavci

1 - 2

Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.3%
Market said: 45.7%
Edge: +15.6 pts
Best odds: 2.19

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.19

MediumEdge +15.6%

Our model61.3%

The market45.7%

The market underrated this by 15.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Dubrava Zagreb

Attack33

Defence32

Form19

Croatia Zmijavci

Attack79

Defence83

Form83

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +7.0%Correct

Our model78.9%

The market71.9%

Edge: +7.0
Odds: 1.39

Draw No Bet

Croatia Zmijavci (DNB)

Edge +20.0%Correct

Our model70.3%

The market50.3%

Edge: +20.0
Odds: 1.99

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.6%Correct

Our model61.3%

The market45.7%

Edge: +15.6
Odds: 2.19

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Correct

Our model54.0%

The market53.5%

Edge: +0.5
Odds: 1.87

Match Winner

Croatia Zmijavci Win

Edge +10.6%Correct

Our model50.0%

The market39.4%

Edge: +10.6
Odds: 2.54

Correct Score

Score: 0-2

Our model9.9%

The market11.4%

Edge: -1.5
Odds: 8.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-2

9.9%

1-1

10.2%

1-2

9.9% · actual

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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