First NL badgeFirst NL · 4 May 2026AI PICK

Dugopolje badgeDugopoljevsHNK Cibalia badgeHNK Cibalia

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.4%
Market said
43.5%
Edge
+23.9 pts
Best odds
2.30

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.30

MediumEdge +23.9%
Our model67.4%
The market43.5%

The market underrated this by 23.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dugopolje badge

Dugopolje

Attack61
Defence53
Form60
HNK Cibalia badge

HNK Cibalia

Attack88
Defence61
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +23.9%Correct
Our model67.4%
The market43.5%
Edge
+23.9
Odds
2.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.2%Correct
Our model65.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
2.00

Match Winner

Dugopolje Win

Correct
Our model48.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Dugopolje (DNB)

Correct
Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.