UEFA Europa Conference League badgeUEFA Europa Conference League · 29 July 2026AI PICK

Dukagjini badgeDukagjinivsFC Lugano badgeFC Lugano

1 - 5
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
53.4%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Best odds
1.82

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.82

MediumEdge +2.1%
Our model55.5%
The market53.4%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dukagjini badge

Dukagjini

Attack33
Defence60
Form33
FC Lugano badge

FC Lugano

Attack52
Defence52
Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market89.3%
Edge
-16.3
Odds
1.12

Draw No Bet

FC Lugano (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.1%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.0
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model55.5%
The market53.4%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.82

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.8%Correct
Our model54.2%
The market53.4%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

FC Lugano Win

Correct
Our model51.2%
The market61.7%
Edge
-10.5
Odds
1.62

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

0-1

9.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.