Challenge Cup badgeChallenge Cup · 11 August 2026AI PICK

Dumbarton badgeDumbartonvsAirdrie United badgeAirdrie United

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.5%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+14.5 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50

LowEdge +14.5%
Our model54.5%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 14.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dumbarton badge

Dumbarton

Attack43
Defence24
Form14
Airdrie United badge

Airdrie United

Attack33
Defence46
Form21

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +28.3%Miss
Our model72.7%
The market44.4%
Edge
+28.3
Odds
2.25

Draw No Bet

Dumbarton (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +14.5%Miss
Our model54.5%
The market40.0%
Edge
+14.5
Odds
2.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +9.2%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market44.4%
Edge
+9.2
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Dumbarton Win

Edge +20.9%Miss
Our model43.1%
The market22.2%
Edge
+20.9
Odds
4.50

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.1%
The market12.7%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
7.86

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.1%

1-1

14.4%

0-0

10.7%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.