League Two badgeLeague Two · 5 September 2026AI PICK

Dumbarton badgeDumbartonvsElgin City badgeElgin City

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
56.7%
Edge
+4.5 pts
Best odds
1.69

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.69

MediumEdge +4.5%
Our model61.2%
The market56.7%

The market underrated this by 4.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Dumbarton badge

Dumbarton

Attack34
Defence30
Form18
Elgin City badge

Elgin City

Attack72
Defence51
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +3.3%Miss
Our model81.4%
The market78.1%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Elgin City (DNB)

Edge +15.2%Miss
Our model76.2%
The market61.0%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
1.64

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.5%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market56.7%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
1.69

Match Winner

Elgin City Win

Edge +10.2%Miss
Our model59.7%
The market49.5%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
2.02

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market60.3%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.57

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.7%
The market11.1%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
8.99

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.7%

1-1

9.5%

0-2

8.1%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.