First League badgeFirst League · 31 August 2026AI PICK

Dunav Ruse badgeDunav RusevsLokomotiv Sofia badgeLokomotiv Sofia

2 - 2
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
86.7%
Market said
48.1%
Edge
+38.6 pts
Best odds
2.08

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Lokomotiv Sofia Win

Match Winner · best price 2.08

High confidenceEdge +38.6%
Our model86.7%
The market48.1%

The market underrated this by 38.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Dunav Ruse badge

Dunav Ruse

Attack34
Defence37
Form18
Lokomotiv Sofia badge

Lokomotiv Sofia

Attack49
Defence41
Form39

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Draw No Bet

Lokomotiv Sofia (DNB)

Edge +30.4%Void
Our model93.3%
The market62.9%
Edge
+30.4
Odds
1.59

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +10.6%Correct
Our model90.0%
The market79.4%
Edge
+10.6
Odds
1.26

Match Winner

Lokomotiv Sofia Win

Edge +38.6%Miss
Our model86.7%
The market48.1%
Edge
+38.6
Odds
2.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.1%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market48.9%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
1.97

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.2%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market53.6%
Edge
+0.2
Odds
1.80

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model11.3%
The market13.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.66

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.3%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

11.7%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.