Dunav Rusevs
Ludogorets
0 - 2Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 69.4%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +11.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 11.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Dunav Ruse
Ludogorets
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -11.7
- Odds
- 1.18
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +11.6
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Ludogorets (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +3.8
- Odds
- 2.00
Match Winner
Ludogorets Win
- Edge
- -29.9
- Odds
- 1.36
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- -1.4
- Odds
- 9.95
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.7%
1-1
9.0%
2-2
7.0%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.