First League badgeFirst League · 7 September 2026AI PICK

Dunav Ruse badgeDunav RusevsSlavia Sofia badgeSlavia Sofia

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+18.4 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Slavia Sofia Win

Match Winner · best price 2.50

MediumEdge +18.4%
Our model58.4%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 18.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Dunav Ruse badge

Dunav Ruse

Attack36
Defence39
Form21
Slavia Sofia badge

Slavia Sofia

Attack73
Defence60
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +11.2%Correct
Our model81.6%
The market70.4%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
1.42

Draw No Bet

Slavia Sofia (DNB)

Edge +24.2%Correct
Our model76.0%
The market51.8%
Edge
+24.2
Odds
1.93

Match Winner

Slavia Sofia Win

Edge +18.4%Correct
Our model58.4%
The market40.0%
Edge
+18.4
Odds
2.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market54.5%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.76

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.1%Miss
Our model54.6%
The market47.5%
Edge
+7.1
Odds
2.01

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

0-2

9.1%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.