Derde Divisie - Saturday · 23 May 2026AI PICK
DVS 33 Ermelovs
Huizen
1 - 0Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 65.4%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +12.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
MissOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 12.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
DVS 33 Ermelo
Huizen
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +13.6
- Odds
- 1.40
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.8
- Odds
- 1.90
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.3
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
DVS 33 Ermelo (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
DVS 33 Ermelo Win
- Edge
- +2.3
- Odds
- 2.00
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- +1.3
- Odds
- 12.02
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.4% · actual
1-1
7.7%
We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.