Premier League badgePremier League · 22 August 2026AI PICK

El Geish badgeEl GeishvsEl Mokawloon badgeEl Mokawloon

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.8%
Market said
40.0%
Edge
+13.8 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.50

LowEdge +13.8%
Our model53.8%
The market40.0%

The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

El Geish badge

El Geish

Attack50
Defence50
Form50
El Mokawloon badge

El Mokawloon

Attack50
Defence50
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model71.2%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Draw No Bet

El Geish (DNB)

Correct
Our model59.4%

No bookmaker price published for this market

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.8%Miss
Our model53.8%
The market40.0%
Edge
+13.8
Odds
2.50

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +22.9%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market30.8%
Edge
+22.9
Odds
3.25

Match Winner

El Geish Win

Edge +5.3%Correct
Our model42.3%
The market37.0%
Edge
+5.3
Odds
2.70

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.4%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

13.7%

1-0

8.5% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.