El Geishvs
Pharco
1 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 78.1%
- Market said
- 74.1%
- Edge
- +4.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.35
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.35
The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
El Geish
Pharco
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +4.0
- Odds
- 1.35
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +2.0
- Odds
- 1.50
Match Winner
El Geish Win
- Edge
- +10.4
- Odds
- 1.89
Draw No Bet
El Geish (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 0-0
- Edge
- +3.3
- Odds
- 4.49
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-0
25.6%
1-0
23.4% · actual
0-1
15.3%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.