Premier League badgePremier League · 18 May 2026AI PICK

El Geish badgeEl GeishvsPharco badgePharco

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
78.1%
Market said
74.1%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
1.35

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.35

High confidenceEdge +4.0%
Our model78.1%
The market74.1%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

El Geish badge

El Geish

Attack39
Defence58
Form46
Pharco badge

Pharco

Attack27
Defence46
Form22

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.0%Correct
Our model78.1%
The market74.1%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
1.35

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model68.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

El Geish Win

Edge +10.4%Correct
Our model63.3%
The market52.9%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
1.89

Draw No Bet

El Geish (DNB)

Edge +0.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +3.3%Miss
Our model25.6%
The market22.3%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
4.49

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

25.6%

1-0

23.4% · actual

0-1

15.3%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.