Premier League badgePremier League · 22 May 2026AI PICK

El Gouna FC badgeEl Gouna FCvsEl Geish badgeEl Geish

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
81.5%
Market said
78.1%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.28

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.28

High confidenceEdge +3.4%
Our model81.5%
The market78.1%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

El Gouna FC badge

El Gouna FC

Attack30
Defence68
Form38
El Geish badge

El Geish

Attack39
Defence58
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +14.1%
Our model85.0%
The market70.9%
Edge
+14.1
Odds
1.41

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.4%Close
Our model81.5%
The market78.1%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model65.5%
The market67.1%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
1.49

Match Winner

El Gouna FC Win

Edge +15.7%Correct
Our model50.8%
The market35.1%
Edge
+15.7
Odds
2.85

Draw No Bet

El Gouna FC (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +2.6%Miss
Our model20.4%
The market17.8%
Edge
+2.6
Odds
5.63

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

20.4%

0-1

19.7%

1-0

17.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.