Liga Pro Serie B badgeLiga Pro Serie B · 9 May 2026AI PICK

El Nacional badgeEl Nacionalvs22 de Julio badge22 de Julio

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
80.9%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+21.0 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

High confidenceEdge +21.0%
Our model80.9%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 21.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

El Nacional badge

El Nacional

Attack38
Defence30
Form8
22 de Julio badge

22 de Julio

Attack36
Defence38
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +21.0%Correct
Our model80.9%
The market59.9%
Edge
+21.0
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +11.4%Miss
Our model65.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+11.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

El Nacional (DNB)

Void
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

El Nacional Win

Miss
Our model47.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-2.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.