Liga Pro Serie B badgeLiga Pro Serie B · 8 July 2026AI PICK

El Nacional badgeEl NacionalvsCumbayá badgeCumbayá

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.0%
Market said
59.9%
Edge
+2.1 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +2.1%
Our model62.0%
The market59.9%

The market underrated this by 2.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

El Nacional badge

El Nacional

Attack30
Defence29
Form9
Cumbayá badge

Cumbayá

Attack59
Defence47
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Draw No Bet

Cumbayá (DNB)

Edge +27.4%Correct
Our model84.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
+27.4
Odds
1.75

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model75.4%
The market76.9%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.1%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
+2.1
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model58.0%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Cumbayá Win

Correct
Our model41.1%
The market46.5%
Edge
-5.4
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Correct
Our model16.3%
The market18.8%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.33

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.3% · actual

0-0

16.6%

1-1

14.2%

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.