Liga Pro Serie B badgeLiga Pro Serie B · 31 May 2026AI PICK

El Nacional badgeEl NacionalvsLDU Portoviejo badgeLDU Portoviejo

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
64.1%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model64.1%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

El Nacional badge

El Nacional

Attack37
Defence30
Form9
LDU Portoviejo badge

LDU Portoviejo

Attack38
Defence39
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model64.1%
The market54.1%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model62.7%
The market61.7%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.62

Draw No Bet

El Nacional (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

El Nacional Win

Edge +11.7%Miss
Our model45.0%
The market33.3%
Edge
+11.7
Odds
3.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.3%
The market15.9%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.30

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

18.3%

0-1

18.1% · actual

1-0

18.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.