Liga Pro Serie B badgeLiga Pro Serie B · 5 September 2026AI PICK

El Nacional badgeEl NacionalvsLDU Portoviejo badgeLDU Portoviejo

0 - 2
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
58.1%
Edge
+0.5 pts
Best odds
1.72

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.72

MediumEdge +0.5%
Our model58.6%
The market58.1%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

El Nacional badge

El Nacional

Attack33
Defence31
Form22
LDU Portoviejo badge

LDU Portoviejo

Attack40
Defence69
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model75.6%
The market79.4%
Edge
-3.8
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

El Nacional (DNB)

Edge +4.2%Miss
Our model63.4%
The market59.2%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
1.69

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market58.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.72

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +1.8%Correct
Our model53.3%
The market51.5%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.94

Match Winner

El Nacional Win

Miss
Our model42.4%
The market44.4%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model26.2%
The market30.1%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
3.32

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

26.2%

0-1

15.7%

1-0

15.7%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.