USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 30 August 2026AI PICK

El Paso Locomotive badgeEl Paso LocomotivevsLoudoun United badgeLoudoun United

4 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.3%
Market said
42.3%
Edge
+19.0 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +19.0%
Our model61.3%
The market42.3%

The market underrated this by 19.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

El Paso Locomotive badge

El Paso Locomotive

Attack40
Defence68
Form51
Loudoun United badge

Loudoun United

Attack32
Defence46
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model74.5%
The market87.0%
Edge
-12.5
Odds
1.15

Draw No Bet

El Paso Locomotive (DNB)

Correct
Our model62.3%
The market71.4%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.0%Miss
Our model61.3%
The market42.3%
Edge
+19.0
Odds
2.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market43.2%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

El Paso Locomotive Win

Correct
Our model42.1%
The market59.5%
Edge
-17.4
Odds
1.68

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model13.0%
The market14.9%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.70

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.0%

1-1

14.9%

0-0

14.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.