USL Championship badgeUSL Championship · 27 August 2026AI PICK

El Paso Locomotive badgeEl Paso LocomotivevsPittsburgh Riverhounds badgePittsburgh Riverhounds

2 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
53.4%
Edge
+0.6 pts
Best odds
1.77

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.77

LowEdge +0.6%
Our model54.0%
The market53.4%

The market underrated this by 0.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

El Paso Locomotive badge

El Paso Locomotive

Attack40
Defence67
Form51
Pittsburgh Riverhounds badge

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Attack40
Defence100
Form59

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model67.7%
The market79.4%
Edge
-11.7
Odds
1.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.6%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market53.4%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
1.77

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model53.8%
The market60.4%
Edge
-6.6
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

El Paso Locomotive (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.3%
The market59.9%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

El Paso Locomotive Win

Correct
Our model35.4%
The market45.9%
Edge
-10.5
Odds
2.18

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model10.3%
The market11.9%
Edge
-1.6
Odds
8.43

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.3%

1-1

15.0%

0-0

11.8%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.