La Liga badgeLa Liga · 9 May 2026AI PICK

Elche badgeElchevsAlaves badgeAlaves

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.2%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +4.4%
Our model63.2%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Elche badge

Elche

Attack49
Defence35
Form33
Alaves badge

Alaves

Attack64
Defence33
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.4%Correct
Our model63.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.3%Close
Our model61.7%
The market52.4%
Edge
+9.3
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Elche Win

Edge +0.8%Miss
Our model50.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Elche (DNB)

Void
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-1

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model8.8%
The market7.7%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
13.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-1

8.8% · actual

1-2

8.8%

0-1

8.5%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.