Primera División RFEF - Group 2 badgePrimera División RFEF - Group 2 · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Eldense badgeEldensevsAtlético Madrid II badgeAtlético Madrid II

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
76.4%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+26.4 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.00

High confidenceEdge +26.4%
Our model76.4%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 26.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Eldense badge

Eldense

Attack94
Defence49
Form67
Atlético Madrid II badge

Atlético Madrid II

Attack82
Defence37
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +26.4%Correct
Our model76.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
+26.4
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.6%Correct
Our model69.4%
The market57.8%
Edge
+11.6
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Eldense Win

Edge +12.8%Correct
Our model64.1%
The market51.3%
Edge
+12.8
Odds
1.95

Draw No Bet

Eldense (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.