Elgin Cityvs
Kelty Hearts
4 - 1Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 54.2%
- Edge
- +3.6 pts
- Best odds
- 1.80
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80
The market underrated this by 3.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Elgin City
Kelty Hearts
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- +6.7
- Odds
- 1.53
Draw No Bet
Elgin City (DNB)
- Edge
- +4.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 1.80
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.4
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Elgin City Win
- Edge
- +13.5
- Odds
- 2.62
Correct Score
Score: 2-1
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.86
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
2-1
9.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-0
8.2%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.