Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 30 August 2026AI PICK

Emelec badgeEmelecvsLeones del Norte badgeLeones del Norte

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
61.3%
Markets called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.57

MediumEdge -0.2%
Our model61.3%
The market61.5%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack36
Defence47
Form40
Leones del Norte badge

Leones del Norte

Attack59
Defence52
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +3.3%
Our model80.2%
The market76.9%
Edge
+3.3
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Emelec (DNB)

Correct
Our model63.3%
The market70.4%
Edge
-7.1
Odds
1.42

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model61.3%
The market61.5%
Edge
-0.2
Odds
1.57

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model54.0%
The market57.6%
Edge
-3.6
Odds
1.67

Match Winner

Emelec Win

Correct
Our model50.8%
The market53.5%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.87

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model8.3%
The market9.5%
Edge
-1.2
Odds
10.49

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

8.3%

2-1

5.8% · actual

2-0

4.5%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.