Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 10 May 2026AI PICK

Emelec badgeEmelecvsLibertad badgeLibertad

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.5%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+4.7 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +4.7%
Our model63.5%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 4.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack36
Defence41
Form39
Libertad badge

Libertad

Attack41
Defence35
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.7%Correct
Our model63.5%
The market58.8%
Edge
+4.7
Odds
1.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +5.1%Miss
Our model62.9%
The market57.8%
Edge
+5.1
Odds
1.73

Match Winner

Emelec Win

Edge +1.0%Miss
Our model51.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Emelec (DNB)

Void
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.4%Miss
Our model18.4%
The market16.0%
Edge
+2.4
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

18.4%

1-0

16.6%

0-0

16.3%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.