Liga Pro badgeLiga Pro · 8 September 2026AI PICK

Emelec badgeEmelecvsManta FC badgeManta FC

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
57.5%
Edge
+1.1 pts
Best odds
1.74

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.74

MediumEdge +1.1%
Our model58.6%
The market57.5%

The market underrated this by 1.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Emelec badge

Emelec

Attack41
Defence50
Form47
Manta FC badge

Manta FC

Attack39
Defence33
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model80.3%
The market90.1%
Edge
-9.8
Odds
1.11

Draw No Bet

Emelec (DNB)

Correct
Our model73.7%
The market78.1%
Edge
-4.4
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.1%Correct
Our model58.6%
The market57.5%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.74

Match Winner

Emelec Win

Correct
Our model55.6%
The market62.5%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.60

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Correct
Our model55.2%
The market61.0%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
1.64

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model16.7%
The market19.2%
Edge
-2.5
Odds
5.20

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

16.7%

1-1

15.2%

1-0

13.2% · actual

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.