Eerste Divisie badgeEerste Divisie · 21 August 2026AI PICK

Emmen badgeEmmenvsJong AZ badgeJong AZ

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
87.5%
Market said
67.5%
Edge
+20.0 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +20.0%
Our model87.5%
The market67.5%

The market underrated this by 20.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Emmen badge

Emmen

Attack57
Defence48
Form50
Jong AZ badge

Jong AZ

Attack86
Defence84
Form79

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

5 of 5 right

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +20.0%Correct
Our model87.5%
The market67.5%
Edge
+20.0
Odds
1.44

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model81.1%
The market80.6%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.24

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model64.1%
The market64.8%
Edge
-0.7
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Emmen (DNB)

Correct
Our model50.1%
The market54.3%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.84

Match Winner

Emmen Win

Correct
Our model40.6%
The market43.7%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
2.29

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.