Serie B badgeSerie B · 1 May 2026AI PICK

Empoli badgeEmpolivsAvellino badgeAvellino

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
56.1%
Market said
54.3%
Edge
+1.8 pts
Best odds
1.84

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.84

MediumEdge +1.8%
Our model56.1%
The market54.3%

The market underrated this by 1.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Empoli badge

Empoli

Attack47
Defence40
Form22
Avellino badge

Avellino

Attack47
Defence48
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.8%Miss
Our model56.1%
The market54.3%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.84

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model54.4%
The market59.2%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.69

Draw No Bet

Empoli (DNB)

Correct
Our model52.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-5.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Empoli Win

Correct
Our model41.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.