Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 31 August 2026AI PICK

Encarnación badgeEncarnaciónvsBenjamín Aceval badgeBenjamín Aceval

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
54.0%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+4.0 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.00

LowEdge +4.0%
Our model54.0%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 4.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Encarnación badge

Encarnación

Attack32
Defence43
Form18
Benjamín Aceval badge

Benjamín Aceval

Attack63
Defence43
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +4.1%Correct
Our model80.4%
The market76.3%
Edge
+4.1
Odds
1.31

Draw No Bet

Benjamín Aceval (DNB)

Edge +15.0%Correct
Our model72.5%
The market57.5%
Edge
+15.0
Odds
1.74

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.0%Miss
Our model54.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+4.0
Odds
2.00

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model53.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Benjamín Aceval Win

Edge +6.1%Correct
Our model51.6%
The market45.5%
Edge
+6.1
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model11.6%
The market13.4%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.49

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

11.6%

1-1

13.4%

0-2

10.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.