Division Intermedia badgeDivision Intermedia · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Encarnación badgeEncarnaciónvsParaguari AC badgeParaguari AC

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model55.7%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Encarnación badge

Encarnación

Attack32
Defence45
Form20
Paraguari AC badge

Paraguari AC

Attack35
Defence47
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model55.7%
The market52.6%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model53.6%
The market71.4%
Edge
-17.8
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Draw

Miss
Our model33.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-16.2
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-0

Miss
Our model18.3%
The market21.0%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
4.76

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-0

18.3%

1-1

15.1%

0-1

13.1% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.