World Cup · 17 June 2026AI PICK
Englandvs
Croatia
4 - 2Full time · 5 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.3%
- Market said
- 48.8%
- Edge
- +9.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.05
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectBoth Teams To Score: Yes
Both Teams To Score · best price 2.05
The market underrated this by 9.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
England
Croatia
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
5 of 5 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +9.5
- Odds
- 2.05
Draw No Bet
England (DNB)
- Edge
- -5.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +2.9
- Odds
- 2.10
Match Winner
England Win
- Edge
- -7.9
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +1.4
- Odds
- 10.23
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.6%
1-1
10.4%
We called 5 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.