Primera B · 29 May 2026AI PICK

EnvigadovsReal Cartagena

1 - 1

Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 62.1%
Market said: 57.5%
Edge: +4.6 pts
Best odds: 1.74

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.74

MediumEdge +4.6%

Our model62.1%

The market57.5%

The market underrated this by 4.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Envigado

Attack70

Defence63

Form67

Real Cartagena

Attack64

Defence51

Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market79.4%

Edge: +5.6
Odds: 1.26

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.6%Correct

Our model62.1%

The market57.5%

Edge: +4.6
Odds: 1.74

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Close

Our model59.6%

The market51.5%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.94

Match Winner

Envigado Win

Edge +11.5%Miss

Our model57.0%

The market45.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 2.20

Draw No Bet

Envigado (DNB)

Void

Our model53.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -4.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.2%

Our model9.3%

The market8.1%

Edge: +1.2
Odds: 12.41

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

9.3%

1-1

9.1% · actual

2-1

9.1%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

Get the app See the full track record