Primera B badgePrimera B · 27 July 2026AI PICK

Envigado badgeEnvigadovsReal Soacha badgeReal Soacha

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.5%
Market said
46.5%
Edge
+9.0 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +9.0%
Our model55.5%
The market46.5%

The market underrated this by 9.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Envigado badge

Envigado

Attack67
Defence45
Form60
Real Soacha badge

Real Soacha

Attack52
Defence43
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market90.1%
Edge
-17.1
Odds
1.11

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.0%Miss
Our model55.5%
The market46.5%
Edge
+9.0
Odds
2.15

Draw No Bet

Envigado (DNB)

Correct
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.1%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Envigado Win

Correct
Our model49.5%
The market59.9%
Edge
-10.4
Odds
1.67

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.5%
The market10.9%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.18

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.5%

1-1

13.4%

1-0

9.2% · actual

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.