DFB Pokal badgeDFB Pokal · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Erzgebirge Aue badgeErzgebirge Auevs1899 Hoffenheim badge1899 Hoffenheim

0 - 4
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
85.4%
Market said
50.5%
Edge
+34.9 pts
Best odds
1.98

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.98

High confidenceEdge +34.9%
Our model85.4%
The market50.5%

The market underrated this by 34.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Erzgebirge Aue badge

Erzgebirge Aue

Attack88
Defence48
Form67
1899 Hoffenheim badge

1899 Hoffenheim

Attack78
Defence41
Form56

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model90.0%
The market98.0%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.02

Draw No Bet

1899 Hoffenheim (DNB)

Correct
Our model88.3%
The market95.2%
Edge
-6.9
Odds
1.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +34.9%Miss
Our model85.4%
The market50.5%
Edge
+34.9
Odds
1.98

Match Winner

1899 Hoffenheim Win

Correct
Our model84.6%
The market93.5%
Edge
-8.9
Odds
1.07

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model60.0%
The market80.6%
Edge
-20.6
Odds
1.24

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.