3. Liga badge3. Liga · 8 May 2026AI PICK

Erzgebirge Aue badgeErzgebirge AuevsMSV Duisburg badgeMSV Duisburg

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.5%
Market said
64.1%
Edge
+3.4 pts
Best odds
1.56

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.56

MediumEdge +3.4%
Our model67.5%
The market64.1%

The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Erzgebirge Aue badge

Erzgebirge Aue

Attack48
Defence34
Form18
MSV Duisburg badge

MSV Duisburg

Attack57
Defence46
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Miss
Our model85.0%
The market87.0%
Edge
-2.0
Odds
1.15

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model67.5%
The market64.1%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.56

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model65.8%
The market64.5%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
1.55

Draw No Bet

Erzgebirge Aue (DNB)

Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Erzgebirge Aue Win

Our model37.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-12.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.