Primera División badgePrimera División · 22 August 2026AI PICK

Escorpiones Belén badgeEscorpiones BelénvsCS Cartagines badgeCS Cartagines

1 - 4
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.0%
Market said
55.6%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +4.4%
Our model60.0%
The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Escorpiones Belén badge

Escorpiones Belén

Attack13
Defence47
Form11
CS Cartagines badge

CS Cartagines

Attack45
Defence50
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model87.9%
The market78.1%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

CS Cartagines (DNB)

Edge +21.8%Correct
Our model80.3%
The market58.5%
Edge
+21.8
Odds
1.71

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.4%Miss
Our model60.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +4.4%Miss
Our model54.2%
The market49.8%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
2.01

Match Winner

CS Cartagines Win

Edge +4.2%Correct
Our model49.4%
The market45.2%
Edge
+4.2
Odds
2.21

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model23.3%
The market26.7%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
3.74

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

23.3%

0-0

23.6%

0-2

13.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.