1. Lig badge1. Lig · 7 September 2026AI PICK

Esenler Erokspor badgeEsenler EroksporvsKayserispor badgeKayserispor

0 - 3
Close

Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.6%
Market said
51.6%
Edge
+7.0 pts
Best odds
1.87

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87

MediumEdge +7.0%
Our model58.6%
The market51.6%

The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Esenler Erokspor badge

Esenler Erokspor

Attack16
Defence100
Form27
Kayserispor badge

Kayserispor

Attack55
Defence71
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +15.2%Correct
Our model83.7%
The market68.5%
Edge
+15.2
Odds
1.46

Draw No Bet

Kayserispor (DNB)

Edge +24.7%Correct
Our model72.1%
The market47.4%
Edge
+24.7
Odds
2.11

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.0%Close
Our model58.6%
The market51.6%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.87

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +6.8%Correct
Our model53.3%
The market46.5%
Edge
+6.8
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

Kayserispor Win

Edge +3.6%Correct
Our model41.9%
The market38.3%
Edge
+3.6
Odds
2.61

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model22.0%
The market25.3%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
3.96

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

22.0%

0-0

17.7%

0-2

16.2%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.