Esenler Eroksporvs
Kayserispor
0 - 3Full time · 4 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 51.6%
- Edge
- +7.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.87
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.87
The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Esenler Erokspor
Kayserispor
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 5 right, 1 close
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +15.2
- Odds
- 1.46
Draw No Bet
Kayserispor (DNB)
- Edge
- +24.7
- Odds
- 2.11
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.0
- Odds
- 1.87
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +6.8
- Odds
- 2.08
Match Winner
Kayserispor Win
- Edge
- +3.6
- Odds
- 2.61
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- -3.3
- Odds
- 3.96
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
22.0%
0-0
17.7%
0-2
16.2%
We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.