La Liga badgeLa Liga · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Espanyol badgeEspanyolvsReal Sociedad badgeReal Sociedad

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+1.5 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +1.5%
Our model60.3%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 1.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Espanyol badge

Espanyol

Attack40
Defence37
Form24
Real Sociedad badge

Real Sociedad

Attack67
Defence37
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model60.3%
The market58.8%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.70

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.8%Close
Our model57.4%
The market55.6%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.80

Match Winner

Espanyol Win

Edge +7.2%Miss
Our model48.0%
The market40.8%
Edge
+7.2
Odds
2.45

Draw No Bet

Espanyol (DNB)

Void
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.6%
The market9.2%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

10.6%

1-2

9.7%

1-1

9.1% · actual

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.