Primeira Liga · 7 September 2026AI PICK
Estorilvs
Arouca
0 - 0Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.6%
- Market said
- 49.8%
- Edge
- +8.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.99
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.99
The market underrated this by 8.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Estoril
Arouca
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 3 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -2.4
- Odds
- 1.41
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.8
- Odds
- 1.99
Draw No Bet
Estoril (DNB)
- Edge
- +0.3
- Odds
- 1.78
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +9.2
- Odds
- 2.13
Match Winner
Estoril Win
- Edge
- -0.9
- Odds
- 2.39
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.5
- Odds
- 8.48
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.8%
We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.