Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Estoril badgeEstorilvsBenfica badgeBenfica

1 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Over 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
67.4%
Markets called
3 of 3 right
Final score
1 - 3

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.33

MediumEdge -7.8%
Our model67.4%
The market75.2%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Estoril badge

Estoril

Attack49
Defence40
Form36
Benfica badge

Benfica

Attack74
Defence63
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Correct
Our model85.0%
The market87.7%
Edge
-2.7
Odds
1.14

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model67.4%
The market75.2%
Edge
-7.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model65.2%
The market62.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.61

Draw No Bet

Estoril (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Estoril Win

Edge +24.5%
Our model37.0%
The market12.5%
Edge
+24.5
Odds
8.00

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.2%
Our model9.1%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.2
Odds
12.69

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.1%

1-1

7.7%

0-1

7.4%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.